Marketing No Comments

Housing minister announces £38m for modular houses across England

Housing minister Esther McVey has said she wants a green housing “revolution” in the North of England composed of hi-tech, prefabricated, modular houses.

Modular housing involves building the majority of a property in a factory beforehand, allowing for mass production and for the main structure to be transported in one go to the site and fitted into place.

Backers of prefab construction point to the need for less construction traffic and the need to address the sector’s ageing core workforce, which is currently being topped up by migrant workers.

She has announced £38m for the initiative, but Labour has criticised it noting that only two of the councils benefiting from the extra cash are situated above the Watford Gap, the theoretical divide that separates the north and south of England.

Hull City Council and Cheshire West and Chester Council will take a slice of the funding, along with North Somerset Council and Bristol City Council in the south west, and Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole Council and Hastings Borough Council on the south coast.

The money will help with the construction of 2,072 homes and McVey used a speech in Sheffield to say she believes the industry could be worth £40bn post-Brexit and become Britain’s hi-tech manufacturing answer to Silicon Valley.

Of the potential in the north of England she said: “We must invest in this new technology. It’s as simple as that. The benefits are clear. Some modular homes can be built in a factory over a week. And assembled on site in a day.

“Industry has told us some homes built using modern methods can have 80 per cent fewer defects and heating bills up to 70 per cent lower.

“Homes built using modern methods can be of higher quality, greener and built to last. I want to see a housing green revolution. In the north of England where the first industrial revolution began.”

The deals are the latest to be awarded through the government’s £350m Local Authority Accelerated Construction programme, which was launched to accelerate the delivery of local authority housing schemes.

Labour’s shadow housing minister John Healey said McVey had “been caught out” during the announcement.

“The Tories’ pathetic housing proposals have nothing to offer the north of England,” said the Opposition frontbencher.

“The Housing Minister has been caught out making promises to the north, but then giving most of this paltry pot of cash to areas in the south.”

Critics of the new housing tech say smaller suppliers are overlooked in the process and imported materials are favoured, whereas traditionally constructed homes contain 80 per cent of UK-produced materials.

Mike Leonard, from Building Alliance, said modular houses would last for only half the time of a masonry-built home – approximately 60 years – and were “fire prone” given their timber structures.

“They are not designed to last. To put it bluntly, they are caravans without wheels,” he said.

By Jack Loughran

Source: E&T

Marketing No Comments

Pound lower against dollar after call for UK election

The British pound fell against the U.S. dollar on Thursday following Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s call for a national election.

Johnson said he was asking parliament to approve a national election on Dec. 12 in an effort to break the political deadlock over Brexit and ensure the UK leaves the European Union.

The added uncertainty brought on by an election may hurt the pound GBP= in the near term. It was last down 0.47% at $1.285 and 1.43% lower this week. Having surged to a 5-1/2 month high on Monday, sterling fell on Tuesday after British lawmakers blocked Johnson’s plan to push through a withdrawal agreement and get the UK out of the EU on Oct. 31.

“Is the election positive for GBP? I argue no. The campaign will see polling swings, and investor inflows may slow whilst they wait for the result. It’s why we are long EUR/GBP,” Nomura analysts told clients.

With the Brexit end game more uncertain than traders thought last week, the pound was set up for another rocky period. Against the euro it dropped 0.26% to 86.38 pence per euro EURGBP=.

However, the pound has risen nearly 5% in October as the chances of a no-deal exit have been all but eliminated. It was against that backdrop the pound retraced some of its initial losses after Johnson announced his third attempt to force a snap poll.

The dollar index benefited from the move in sterling, last up 0.16% against a basket of rival currencies at 97.65 .DXY.

The euro was 0.21% lower at $1.111, though it had already sunk against the dollar prior to Johnson’s announcement. Despite some optimism from Mario Draghi’s final news conference as president of the European Central Bank on Thursday, the euro fell, pulled down by business surveys which point to stagnating economic momentum in the euro zone.

“We came into the morning thinking that there would be a bit more optimism than usual from Draghi as it is his last meeting, and we didn’t think he would want to end his tenure on a downbeat note,” said Thierry Wizman, global interest rates and currencies strategist at Macquarie Group.

“We detected some optimism towards the end of the press conference which is why the euro rallied at around 9 a.m. ET. And then it sold off. There was no news in the pipeline to help it stay up.”

Reporting by Kate Duguid

Source: UK Reuters

Marketing No Comments

UK mortgage approvals hit six-month low in September – UK Finance

The number of new mortgages approved by British banks hit a six-month low in September, according to a survey that adds to signs the housing market is slowing again ahead of the October Brexit deadline.

Industry body UK Finance said banks approved 42,310 loans for home purchase in September, compared with 42,527 in August, according to seasonally-adjusted data. However, the number of approvals for remortgaging rose to the highest level since November 2017 at 32,649.

UK Finance said annual growth in consumer credit rose to a 19-month high of 4.5%, driven by personal loans and overdrafts rather than credit card lending.

Reporting by Andy Bruce, editing by David Milliken

Source: UK Reuters

Marketing No Comments

Will house prices crash after Brexit?

Home owners and prospective buyers alike want to know: will house prices crash after Brexit? With the huge 20 per cent house price fall prediction continuing to circulate on the web, is it really true that there will be a property market crash once we’ve left the EU?

As we’ve reported in our in-depth analysis of Brexit and house prices, while Brexit undoubtedly has affected the property market, the effect has not been uniform across the UK, and Brexit is not the only factor affecting property prices. If we ignore some of the hype that has surrounded discussions of Brexit and house prices, we can start looking at the bigger picture, with more endemic problems surrounding property and the economy coming to the fore.

By far the biggest problem with the UK housing market right now (and for quite some time past) is one of insufficient supply and growing demand. This has been exacerbated by Brexit, with home owners anxiously holding on to properties, reducing the available number of properties further still.

The UK is still massively behind new build targets, which is deepening the housing crisis. For illustration’s sake, the UK has twice the population of Canada, but is building half the number of new homes. So, while house prices are unlikely to crash as such after Brexit, the reasons behind this are not a strong economy, but the economy of scarcity.

The other growing problem with housing is yet another growing borrowing bubble, with some economists already predicting a 2008-style recession in the near future. Property economist Andrew Burrell points to an overinflated property market which is at capacity in terms of growth: ‘It’s just a matter of 30 years’ of falling interest rates, people taking out bigger and bigger mortgages – you’ve now reached the size where it’s probably about as big as we can manage.’

A combination of high levels of debt at low interest rates with stagnant incomes sounds uncomfortably familiar. However, there is one important difference: the UK economy is not currently ‘booming’, as was the case prior to 2008, so any property market slump is unlikely to come in the form of a spectacular crash. What we’re most likely to see is a sluggish property market with slow growth in most areas of the country, and perhaps some further price falls in premium property segments (e.g. central London).

Are you planning on buying or selling a house? Don’t think about Brexit too much and stick to your plans.

BY ANNA COTTRELL

Source: Real Homes

Marketing No Comments

Housing minister announces plans to boost UK proptech sector with data

Housing minister Esther McVey has announced plans to “bring about a digital revolution in the property sector” by opening up local data to UK proptech firms.

The Conservative MP for Tatton yesterday pledged to open up Compulsory Purchase Order (CPO) data including energy performance certificates and square footage information on properties and introduce a national index of all brownfield data to help developers to find brownfield land to build on.

McVey claimed that the data would offer enormous benefits to both homebuyers and the property sector.

“Whatever homebuyers prioritise, whether it’s the quality of local schools, the probability of getting a seat on a train, or having easy access to leisure facilities, this technology could transform the way we find and purchase homes,” she said.

“And new technology will link builders to brownfield sites more easily, enhance how developers engage with local communities, help builders deliver new homes and modernise the way we buy and sell land and houses, cutting the time it takes to get housing from the drawing board to families getting the keys.”

A press release from the Ministry of Housing, Communities & Local Government suggested that the plans could give communities models and interactive maps of planned developments and allow them to comment on planning applications online, on phones and on the go. They could also allow prospective home buyers to use commute time calculators when they are looking at properties, explore financing options, and receive step-by-step assistance on the buying process.

Developers, meanwhile, could be enabled to identify sites so that more houses are built more quickly quickly locate suitable brownfield sites suitable for development.

Sector response

The government estimates that the proptech sector is potentially worth £6 billion in the UK and already receives 10 percent of global proptech investment.

These plans could help it further grow by giving startups and SMEs that lack resources access to tools that can analyse multiple datasets.

Representatives of the property sector were cautiously optimistic about the plans.

Michael Stone, founder and CEO of new home specialists Stone Real Estate, argued that the digital strategy would only reach its potential if the government added easier access to public land.

“Any initiative to open up land supply and provide greater transparency within the house building process should be welcomed,” Stone said in a statement.

“After all, we’re building 200,000 new homes a year nationally while the reality is that we need to deliver 300,000, so that’s some deficit that needs to be addressed. However, whilst the Housing Minister’s announcements today on promoting digitisation and better brownfield site identification will be welcomed, perhaps they should go a step further and start mandating that public land is also utilised more readily.

“There’s an ironic reality that while the government has failed to bolster house building via a number of recent initiatives, a very real solution remains right under their nose. The swathes of untapped land that could be used to develop and deliver more homes are largely controlled by the very public sector that is responsible for, you guessed it, building these homes in the first place.”

Others were more sceptical about the value of the data to lower-income citizens.

“Govt should stimulate the housing market & end class-distinction, it has to be prepared to listen to low-income households with a greater understanding of their needs & greater cooperation if it is to adequately address the real issues people are confronted with on a daily basis,” property developer Leciester & Leicester responded in a tweet.

By Thomas Macaulay

Source: Tech World

Marketing No Comments

BTL mortgage cost decline slows

The fall in the cost of buy-to-let mortgages has slowed, online mortgage broker Property Master has found.

Property Master’s Mortgage Tracker for October showed costs dropped in four out of the six categories tracked but interest rates stayed the same for the remaining two categories.

Angus Stewart, chief executive at Property Master, said: “The previous quarter saw our report record two across the board falls in the cost of all the fixed rate buy-to-let mortgage categories we track.

“But as we go into the last quarter of this year, we have seen this decline stall – at least in the cost of 2-year fixed rates.

“The further reduction in some 5-year fixed rates provides some landlords with an incentive to fix their commitments at what may be the lowest rate we will see for some time.

“Lenders have been awash with funds recently which has been driving competition and lower mortgage costs.

“As ever the biggest influencer on interest rates going forward will be predicting the future strength of the UK economy which whilst Brexit remains unresolved is obviously very difficult indeed.

“It is unclear whether there will need to be a further fall in interests rates to stimulate the economy and this will be driven by whether or not we leave the EU at the end of this month and if we do whether or not it is with a deal.

“The Monetary Policy Committee meeting on 7 November will be a critical review point.”

The biggest fall in monthly cost was for 5-year fixed rate buy-to-let mortgage offers for 50% of the value of a property.

The monthly cost of this type of mortgage saw a monthly decline of £25.

By Michael Lloyd

Source: Mortgage Introducer

Marketing No Comments

One in four UK households now predict the Bank of England to cut interest rates

The number of households expecting the Bank of England (BoE) to cut interest rates has risen to its highest level since the Brexit referendum, survey data showed today, as Britons remain downbeat about their financial health over the coming months.

Households are pessimistic despite wages rising at a fast pace and unemployment close to record lows. Brexit uncertainty has been one factor dampening the mood, and there are signs that Britain’s jobs boom is slowing down.

The UK household finance index – a gauge of people’s perceptions of financial wellbeing by data firm IHS Markit – edged up to 44.4 in October from 43.1 in September.

The figure was the gauge’s highest mark since January but nonetheless signalled pessimism among households about their finances. A score of under 50 is considered a negative reading.

IHS Markit economist Joe Hayes said the “latest survey results from UK households continue to show how economic and political uncertainty is holding back what could have been a more resilient growth period for the UK economy”.

“These concerns, coupled with the uncertain economic outlook, have led to an increased proportion of UK households expecting the Bank of England to cut interest rates.”

At the start of the year over 70 per cent of UK households through the BoE would hike rates when it went to change them. That number has now fallen to around 58 per cent, its lowest level in two years.

A growing number of households – 25 per cent – now expect the Bank’s next move to be a cut, the highest proportion since October 2016.

Hayes said: “Negative job security perceptions and a pessimistic financial health outlook have led UK households to delay spending, with major purchases suffering as a result.”

By Harry Robertson

Source: City AM

Marketing No Comments

UK property asking prices show weakest October rise since 2008 – Rightmove

Asking prices for British houses put on sale in October showed the smallest seasonal increase since the financial crisis, as all but the most determined sellers waited for greater certainty over Brexit, industry figures showed on Monday.

Rightmove said that the average asking price for homes sold via its website was 0.6% higher in October than in September, well below the average 1.6% rise seen for the time of year and the smallest increase since October 2008.

“With upward pricing power now pretty flat, some sellers who are motivated by maximising their money seem to be holding back. They may be waiting for more certainty around both achieving their price aspirations and also the Brexit outcome,” Rightmove director Miles Shipside said.

Average asking prices in October were 0.2% lower than in October 2018, compared with an annual rise of 0.2% in September.

Britain’s housing market has slowed since June 2016’s referendum on leaving the European Union, and official data last week – based on completed sales – showed annual house price growth of 1.3% in the year to August, up from a near seven-year low of 0.8% in July.

Consumers have become warier about making major purchases in general.

A quarterly survey of consumer sentiment by accountants Deloitte, also released on Monday, showed morale fell to its lowest since late 2018 in the third quarter of 2019, despite wages growing at their fastest rate in a decade.

“Up to now we have seen a slowdown everywhere but in the jobs market and in the consumer economy,” Deloitte economist Ian Stewart said. “A decline in consumer confidence this quarter, combined with a fall in official unemployment figures, show that the period of remarkable resilience … is coming to an end.”

Reporting by David Milliken, editing by Andy Bruce

Source: UK Reuters

Marketing No Comments

Buy To Let Property Renting Is A Business

Many landlords are employed in business or professions; private renting is an additional income, perhaps to provide an income in older age, so I am fully aware that many have successful additional careers.

But if the main income source was from a business they were running themselves, would they survive if they used the same criteria in that business as they do in their private renting?

Let’s consider an example. Though the comparisons I make could be equally applied to any business, let’s look at a business that would have as a very large investment, as the properties that a landlord owns will also require a large investment. So, let’s look at the Jeweller, who owns properties to fund his old age.

A customer comes in, attracted by the very nice window display. You don’t know him but he has a reference from someone (again, unknown to you). He smiles nicely, is polite and asks can he borrow the Rolex watch you have in the window display. You advise that the watch will cost £7,000. He explains that he has no money but would be really grateful if you would lend it to him for a few months.

Would it be unreasonable of you to refuse to trust your valuable item into his eager, but cash-less, hands? Of course not; you need to protect your property; it was bought to realise a profit. Yet how many landlords will accept as a tenant someone without checkable references, where any deposit paid would be minimal, compared to the investment made by the landlord?

Let’s be a different landlord, but in the same business. He has a beautiful diamond bracelet in his window. Someone comes in to look at it. He has the cash to buy it and seems an excellent prospect for a purchase. The bracelet comes out of the window – and the prospective buyer says ‘there’s a diamond missing there; the catch is broken. Why should I buy?’ The Jeweller explains that yes, he can see the problems, but he spent £500 in replacing a diamond in a pendant, so he cannot afford to replace the diamond and repair this bracelet.

Landlords will show properties in need of substantial repairs and make the excuse all their resources have gone elsewhere, that they cannot afford repairs or replacement of a new boiler. Properties should be sound, clean and with all facilities working and no landlord should be in the business if a contingency fund does not allow for necessary repairs.

I like jewellery shops, so we’ll continue with the comparison. The jeweller engages a new assistant for his jewellery business. He takes no references as the new assistant seems quite charming. All goes well for a period of training and the owner feels confident he has made the right choice and can leave his assistant in charge when he is elsewhere.

On return from a short break away, he finds that there are a string of complaints waiting for him; the assistant has been rude to more than one customer; he has had several friends in the shop, being rowdy and intimidating customers; sales have decreased and the window is untidy and no longer appealing to the passer-by. Does the shop-keeper give his assistant another chance to do more damage? No. He has found his trust misplaced and there is only one option – he fires him, with as little notice as possible.

Why then do landlords accept the anti-social behaviour of their tenants, hesitating to take action, allowing their reputation to be damaged and finding that when the tenant is gone, there is work to do in the tenancy, probably substantially more than our Jeweller has to do to put his window back into order.

Private renting is a business. Some will believe that it is a unique business, that the rules that apply to another business are not relevant to the private rental sector. Perhaps not always but doing an exercise in compare and contrast will show whether the landlord is acting reasonably, or whether he is being taken advantage of and should take action – perhaps quicker than they usually do.

Source: Residential Landlord

Marketing No Comments

Bank of England deputy suggests Brexit deal could see rates rise

Deputy Bank of England governor Dave Ramsden has said he thinks gradually increasing interest rates could still be the right path if Britain achieves a smooth exit from the European Union.

Threadneedle Street has repeatedly struck a more hawkish tone than its American and European counterparts, saying it foresees “limited and gradual” rate rises unless Britain’s economy takes a downturn.

Ramsden spoke to Bloomberg yesterday after Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced a “great new” deal with the EU that would see existing trading arrangements stay as they are for at least a year while a new trade deal was reached.

“The kind of guidance we’ve been giving – in the world of a deal it still applies,” Ramsden said in the interview, published today. “We’re not saying over what timeframe, but limited and gradual is a reasonable qualitative framing.”

Ramsden’s view diverges from some of his Bank of England policymaker colleagues. Extern monetary policy committee (MPC) members Gertjan Vlieghe and Michael Saunders have suggested rates should be lower even in the event of a deal.

The BoE deputy said a Brexit deal and some certainty for UK businesses will lead to “some pickup in investment” and will bolster demand and “hopefully” productivity.

Business investment has slumped in 2019, with firms reticent to spend until there is greater certainty over Brexit.

Johnson’s new Brexit deal goes before MPs tomorrow in what looks set to be an incredibly tight vote. Ramsden said the BoE will keep an eye on currency movements after the vote.

By Harry Robertson

Source: City AM