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The Budget stimulated an 80% rise in buyer demand

The recent Budget stimulated an 80% rise in buyer demand for property compared to the four-year average, according to Zoopla’s monthly House Price Index.

Despite this, the supply of new homes is down 13%, compared to the 2020 average.

Zoopla outlined that the volume of homes for sale is expected to recover as the COVID-19 vaccination programme continues to gather pace and the Prime Minister’s roadmap out of lockdown comes into effect.

From a national perspective, average home values are up 4.1% since the start of the first lockdown, amounting to £8,907 on the year or £750 per month.

While annual house price growth is down slightly from 4.4% last month, this marks the fourth consecutive month of house price growth over 4%.

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Regionally house price growth in the Midlands, North of England, Wales and Scotland are at an almost 10-year high, fuelled by the relative affordability in these markets.

At a city level, Liverpool and Manchester continue to show the strongest levels of annual house price growth, up 6.6% and 6.4% respectively.

Sales agreed are up 5.3% compared to the same period in 2020, and the average time to sell a property in the UK has fallen by nearly a week across the UK excluding London, down from 50 days in 2020 to 44 days.

In contrast, London is the only region in the UK where properties are taking longer to sell.

The North East and the North West have recorded the highest reduction in time to sell on a regional level, falling by 17 days and 12 days, respectively.

At the same time, the North West and Yorkshire and the Humber are the fastest moving markets in the UK, with sales agreed on properties in an average of just 38 days from the point of listing.

The index also revealed that houses are selling three weeks faster than flats.

The lockdown-led ‘search for space’ means houses are taking an average of 42 days to go from the point of listing to sale agreed, this compares to 62 days for a flat.

Demand for three-bed homes rose by 30% in the week after the Budget, in relation, the average value of a house has risen by 4.9%.

Meanwhile, the average price of a flat has increased by 1.9% over the same timeframe.

An estimated 130,000 properties for sale in England will be stamp duty free for another six months following the Budget which will amount to £123m saved in tax.

Overall, Zoopla anticipates that more than half a million buyers this year will benefit from some level of stamp duty relief.

Read about the UK Housing Market via our Specialist Residential & Buy to Let Division

David Ross, managing director of Hometrack, said: “The 95% LTV mortgage guarantee scheme and the stamp duty extension outlined in the Budget have led to a spike in buyer demand, which was up 24% in the days following the announcement.

“The stimulus provided by the mortgage guarantee scheme will likely promote a similar increase of uptake of higher equity loans from the knock-on in demand up the property chain.

“With time to complete standing at around four months, buyers in the North of England look set to benefit the most – with two-third of local stock under £250,000 in value, and therefore always exempt from stamp duty.

“While prospects for the wider housing market have improved on the back of the Budget, the post-lockdown path to the full reopening of the economy and unwinding of support measures will still have a big impact.

“Therefore, we still expect house price growth to moderate later in the year, but overall transactions look set to get an additional boost from the stamp duty measures.”

Nigel Purves, chief executive of Wayhome, added: “With a full year of lockdown behind us, there has been increased momentum in the housing market ahead of the busy Spring period.

“Indeed, house prices were up by 4.9% year on year and flats were also up by 1.9% over the same period.

“Over the coming months with offices, shops and restaurants set to reopen, we may witness some individuals turning back to connectivity and convenience, while others continue their ‘search for space.

“While the introduction of 95% loan-to-value mortgages may bring hope to those wanting to step foot on the ladder, affordability remains a serious problem.

“There are many households whose incomes still won’t meet the criteria for mortgage approval, despite their ability to consistently pay rent on the kind of homes they would like to buy.

“Going forward, the government needs to work with the property industry to better support alternative routes to help ‘reluctant renters’ achieve homeownership.”

By Jake Carter

Source: Mortgage Introducer

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Scottish residential property revenues and volumes up over 20%

Scottish residential property revenues and sales volumes rose over 20% in the past six months according to analysis of the latest Scottish government data by UK-wide letting firm, apropos.

The data found that completed property sales rose 23.2% and government revenue was up 20.4% from September 2020 to February 2021 compared to the same period in the previous year.

The volume of sales covering the six-month period rose from 51,030 to 62,850 while revenue from land and buildings transaction tax (LBTT) increased from £208.2m to £250.7m.

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David Alexander (pictured), joint chief executive officer of apropos, said: “September was the first month to show the impact of raising the LBTT threshold and this data highlights just how successful this policy was over the following six months in kick starting the property market through what could otherwise have been a fairly moribund period.

“The four-month period from September to October showed the highest volume of completed transactions since LBTT was begun and the greatest revenues received by the Scottish government.”

“There is little doubt that these record figures for transactions and revenues would have continued if the threshold for paying LBTT had continued for longer. Individual home buyers have benefitted from this policy and the Scottish Government has benefitted from an additional £42.5m which it would otherwise not have received.”

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“The ending of the stamp duty holiday at the end of March is clearly already having an impact on sales (both January and February numbers are nearly 50% lower than December) and I would expect the March figures to be static and then a sudden dip in volumes and consequent fall in revenues for the Scottish government in April and beyond.

“Despite widespread support from homebuyers and the property market the Scottish government remains intransigent on maintaining a policy which directly benefits individuals and raises essential funds for their coffers at this difficult time for the economy.

“Despite this win-win tax reduction the Scottish government seems disinclined to maintain a popular and successful policy even though the Westminster Government is sustaining their stamp duty saving for a further six months. We shall see how much of a disadvantage this produces for the Scottish homebuyer and the wider housing market in the next few months.”

Source: Property Wire

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Cornwall replaces London as most searched location to live

Cornwall has replaced London as the most searched for location to live, according to data collected by Rightmove.

Rightmove registered over five million searches in a month in February 2021 for properties within the county of Cornwall.

The property portal suggests that people are seeking the countryside, coastal towns and villages to move to following ‘stay at home’ restrictions.

Dorset has also risen up from position 20 to position 10.

Six of the top 10 locations noting the largest rise in buyer searches over the past year have been in Cornwall and Devon.

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The village of Stithians in Cornwall has risen by a 224% on this time last year.

When looking at the second half of 2020 annual sales agreed grew by 69% in rural areas, compared to 49% in urban areas as more people looked to escape to the country.

Looking by number of bedrooms, five-bed detached homes have seen the biggest jump in sales being agreed, up by 38%, followed by four bed properties, up by 26%.

Rightmove outlined that this is also a likely result of the temporary stamp duty holiday savings being largest for more expensive homes.

The data shows that there has been a shift in more people who currently live in a city enquiring about a property that is outside of that city.

The biggest shift has been in London where this time last year 39% of Londoners were enquiring outside of London.

This has jumped up to 52%, and the trend is the same across all 10 of the biggest cities in the UK.

According to Rightmove, a year ago the most sought after property type for tenants was a two bed flat, and this has been replaced by a two bed semi-detached house, due to the desire for more space and a garden.

Asking rents over the past year vary dramatically, with double digit growth in some towns and suburbs, compared to double digit declines in areas of London.

Tim Bannister, director of property data at Rightmove, said: “The stand-out trends over the past year have been increased demand for countryside and coastal living, more people making the dream of a detached home a reality, and the increased appeal for a garden.

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“The huge population of London means that traditionally it’s the most searched for location on Rightmove, but the appeal of the coast and the countryside over the past year has seen Cornwall crowned the new capital this year.

“More space has always been the most common reason for people moving home, but the evolution for many from balancing their laptop on the end of a bed last March to making an office a permanent addition to a home, whether that’s by converting a bedroom, garage or garden shed, has led to a need for even bigger homes than before.

“This is evident with five bed detached homes seeing the biggest growth in sales, and two bed homes becoming the most sought after for people renting.”

By Jake Carter

Source: Mortgage Introducer

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Majority of landlords waiting for lockdown measures to ease before investing

Over half (59.8%) of BTL landlords are waiting for lockdown measures to ease before investing in properties, according to the National Landlord Index by Accommodation.co.uk.

The research highlights that UK landlords still see the rental market as a safe place to invest especially as the stock market has been so volatile during the pandemic.

This desire from landlords to expand their property portfolios in 2021 is reflected in the demand for buy-to-let mortgages with the index revealing that nearly two-fifths (37.8%) of landlords are planning to apply for one this year.

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As the UK starts to see the benefits the vaccination has on the economy, Accommodation.co.uk says it is “clear” that landlords are optimistic that this recovery will be reflected in house prices long-term.

Aaron Short, founder and chief executive at Accommodation.co.uk, said: “We are always listening to our landlords and tenants to understand the needs of the market and this is why the National Landlord Index remains so important.

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“Understanding how BTL landlords are being impacted by lockdown measures and what their plans are post-pandemic help us to understand the future lettings market. It is great to see landlords looking to expand portfolios and generally positive about the future and this certainly mirrors the growth we have seen at Accommodation.co.uk.

“We have been at the forefront of updating this archaic industry and we believe our award-winning model offers tenants and landlords the best solution in the current market.”

Source: Property Wire

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UK housing stock now worth a record £7.56trn

The total value of the UK’s housing stock has hit a record high of £7.56trn despite the pandemic and prevailing economic uncertainty, according to Savills.

The total UK housing value, which rose £380bn compared to 2019, now stands at four times the value of all companies in the FTSE 100.

The value of housing in the North of England saw its strongest growth since 2005 with a £59bn gain, while London and SE account for around £1.8trn and £1.4trn respectively, an increase of 23% and 18% of the total.

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The value of mortgaged owner occupied homes passed £2.5 trillion for the first time, driven by support from the Bank of Mum and Dad, longer mortgage terms, and the support of Help to Buy, Savills reported.

The mortgage guarantee scheme announced in this month’s Budget will boost this figure further.

Lawrence Bowles, a director in Savills residential research team, said: “People reassessed their housing needs and preferences as a result of the pandemic and that drove a surge in transaction activity in the second half of last year.

“This triggered rapid price growth as many buyers who felt secure in their finances looked for larger homes to accommodate the multiple demands of home working and home schooling, as well as extra space for living and leisure.  It also meant that the total value of properties held with a mortgage rose by 6.9% as people stretched their borrowing to accommodate lifestyle demands.”

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Total value% growthIn 2020Value gainIn 2020
London£1,765bn6.1%£101bn
South East£1,420bn4.9%£66bn
East of England£855bn4.7%£39bn
South West£706bn6.2%£41bn
North West£561bn6.2%£33bn
West Midlands£508bn4.9%£24bn
East Midlands£418bn5.5%£22bn
Yorkshire and the Humber£411bn5.0%£20bn
Scotland£390bn4.5%£17bn
Wales£245bn3.8%£9bn
North East£158bn4.4%£7bn
Northern Ireland£117bn3.2%£4bn
United Kingdom£7,555bn5.3%£380bn
Source Savills Research using ONS, Land Registry, MHCLG, UK Finance

By MARC DA SILVA

Source: Property Industry Eye

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Rental growth reaches a record 8.0% outside London

Rental growth outside London has hit 8.0%, the highest figure ever recorded by the Hamptons monthly letting index.

The cost of renting rose by 10.6% in the South East, the first time the region has entered into double-digit growth.

Rental growth nationally has been fuelled by a lack of stock – 300,000 fewer properties have come onto the rental market since the onset of the pandemic (March 2020 to February 2021), nearly a fifth less than during the preceding 12 months.

Aneisha Beveridge, head of research at Hamptons, said: “This year we’ve seen a sharp decline in the number of rental homes coming onto the market. Would-be tenants are now faced with significantly less choice, which in turn is pushing up rents.

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“And with many landlords having multiple offers on the table, half of investors have been able to increase the rent they charge.

“Rental stock levels have also been hit with the onset of the pandemic causing investors to hold back. This has been compounded by emergency legislation which saw landlords having to extend a tenant’s notice period to a minimum of six months, reducing turnover further.

“At the same time, many renters who were looking to buy had to put their plans on ice and continue renting, as banks sought larger deposits for house purchases.”

Rents in inner London, where demand has been decimated by the pandemic, have fallen by 17.7% to £2,185.

Read about the UK Housing Market via our Specialist Residential & Buy to Let Division

However in Outer London rents grew 5.3% annually, suggesting expensive areas where rents have fallen the most.

Beveridge added: “Over the last five months, and in an effort to beat the original stamp duty deadline of the end of March, landlord purchases started to rise, which will add to stock levels when these homes complete.

“Meanwhile the government announced a new Mortgage Guarantee Scheme in the Budget which is aimed at helping would-be buyers with small deposits, many of whom are currently renting. Both factors, alongside the ending of the eviction ban in April, mean rental stock levels may have bottomed out.”

BY RYAN BEMBRIDGE

Source: Property Wire

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UK Housing Market Holds Steady Despite Lockdown, Survey Has Found

The UK housing market strengthened in February, research published on Thursday showed, ahead of the chancellor’s decision to extend the stamp duty holiday.

According to the latest RICS UK Residential Survey, the net balance for house price growth was +52% in February compared to +49% in January. Newly agreed sales improved to +1%, against January’s net balance of -17%.

The net balance for new buyer enquiries was -9% at the national level, the second consecutive negative monthly figure. However, it was a significant improvement on January’s reading of -29%. New instructions strengthened from -40% in to -29%.

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The outlook also improved, with the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors noting: “Current lockdown restrictions appear to be deterring new vendors putting their homes up for sale. However, forward-looking metrics have shown some improvement, with sales expected to rise modestly over the coming three months.

“What’s more, it’s important to note that over three-quarters of the survey sample was gathered prior to the chancellor confirming that the stamp duty holiday would be extended until the end of June, and then tapered through to October, in the recent Budget.”

Twelve-month price expectations also picked up, with the UK-wide net balance coming in at +46%, compared to +30% in last month’s survey.

Read about the UK Housing Market via our Specialist Residential & Buy to Let Division

The UK housing market has boomed recently, fuelled by a rise in the stamp duty threshold and pent-up demand following the first national lockdown, when estate agents and construction sites were forced to close.

The market was widely expected to soften ahead of government schemes such as the stamp duty holiday and furlough ending this spring. But last week Rishi Sunak extended both schemes, with the latter now due to end in September.

Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist, said: “The measures should help support the housing market over the coming months, with concerns around a cliff edge end to the stamp duty break eased.

“However, a very clear message emanating from the latest survey is that more needs to be done to address the shortfall in supply, with price and rent expectations very evidently continuing to accelerate. Planning reform, which the government is addressing, alongside supporting a sustainable and inclusive recovery in the economy are key elements in encouraging the private sector to increase the pipeline of new build.”

By Abigail Townsend

Source: Sharecast

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Value of new mortgage commitments reach highest level since 2007

The value of new mortgage commitments was up 24.2% annually to reach £87.7bn, and is at the highest level since 2007 according to the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

The quarterly mortgage lending statistics data also shows that the outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans was £1,541.4bn at the end of Q4 2020, 2.9% higher than a year earlier.

The value of gross mortgage advances in Q4 2020 was £76.6bn, 4.2% higher than in Q4 2019.

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Since the beginning of 2007, am estimated 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.

The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators so this data publication is joint.

Jonathan Stinton, head of intermediary relationships at Coventry Building Society, said: “The highest volume of mortgage commitments since 2007 has been fuelled by the stamp duty holiday.

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“It not only means that brokers will have a very healthy pipeline of business throughout the start of this year but also there is plenty of momentum in the market.

“The stamp duty holiday extension until the end of June should help to maintain high volumes but brokers need to be mindful of the time it takes for offers to complete. New buyers or movers need to have contingency plans in case they miss the June deadline and are faced with a tax bill.

“The huge numbers in Q4 have been fuelled mainly by movers and first time buyers but there is still a large market out there for remortgage business.”

By Jake Carter

Source: Mortgage Introducer

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London house prices to boom over the next five years

London house prices are set to boom over the next five years, estate agent Savills said as it upped its UK property market forecasts for 2021.

House prices in London’s mainstream market are expected to rise 12.6 per cent in the five years ended 2025, the real estate firm said.

Meanwhile prime central London house prices are rated a “buy” as they are down 21 per cent from peak, and are expected to “rebound strongly”.

Prime central London prices will rise three per cent this year, seven per cent next year and total 21.6 per cent by 2025.

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Savills upgraded its UK house price forecasts for this year to growth of four per cent, compared to its previous expectation that property values would remain flat in 2021.

Over the five years to the end of 2025, it anticipates UK-wide house price growth with total 21.1 per cent.

Housing transactions are expected to reach highs of 1.4m this year before falling back to pre-Covid levels in 2023.

Read about the UK Housing Market via our Specialist Residential & Buy to Let Division

However, markets furthest from the capital are expected to see the strongest growth, with the north west and Yorkshire and The Humber leading the way.

“2021 is going to be a complex and uneven year, with competing forces impacting the housing market at different points,” Lucian Cook, Savills head of residential research, said.

“But the outlook has improved since the beginning of the year given the speed of the vaccination programme, the expected relaxation of social distancing measures and government support for both jobs and the housing market.

By Jessica Clark

Source: City AM

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Growing interest from new investors in BTL market

Interest from new investors in the buy-to-let market is growing, according to Knowledge Bank’s latest tracker results.

The analysis of brokers’ searches in February found intermediaries are working with potential new landlords, and the furlough scheme is still of interest in the residential market.

For the tenth month in a row, buy-to-let brokers reported interest from ‘first-time landlords’, with the criteria reaching the top five, and in February it was the most-searched term by brokers.

Knowledge Bank believes this demonstrates the interest in the rental market from investors, who would normally look to deal in stocks and shares, but are now shifting attention to buy-to-let.

‘First-time buyer’ also featured in the top five most searched for terms by brokers for the second consecutive month.

Looking to the residential market, ‘soft footprint at DIP stage’ returned to the top five most-searched terms after a month’s absence.

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The firm said this suggests brokers are looking for processes that will not impact future applications, due to clients having lower credit scores.

The rest of the top five were unchanged from January, with furlough again top of the searches.

‘Maximum age at end of term’ was again the second top searched term, with older clients looking for finance.

There was also more interest from those who are self-employed, with ‘self-employed – one year’s accounts’ in the top five for the tenth consecutive month.

The second charge market once again saw an interest in managing debt as two of the terms in the top five related to debt management.

In the bridging sector, ‘second charge loan’ was in the top five for the first time since October 2020.

Matthew Corker, operations director at Knowledge Bank, said: “The rental market in the UK is receiving a lot of interest at the moment.

“Perhaps as a result of the volatility in the stock market due to the pandemic, investors are turning to what they see as a safe investment.

“With house prices increasing in the past year and interest in rental properties also on the increase, this trend could be set to continue.

“However, with the government announcing they would back 95% loan to value mortgages, this may help more first-time buyers onto the housing ladder, and may see less looking to rent in the future.

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“The furlough scheme was again at the top of the list for brokers in the residential market, and the latest extension to the job support scheme will undoubtably result in more lenders adjusting criteria.

“The stamp duty extension may bring a raft of new clients to the market. However, they will need to move quickly as even with the extra three months, the deadline is still tight for those who have not already started the process.

“With these latest government decisions, lenders are certain to continue adapting criteria to keep up with the evolving market.

“With changes coming thick and fast, brokers could spend hours every day searching for the latest criteria, so using a comprehensive criteria search system can save them a massive amount of time and ensure they are providing best advice.”

By Jake Carter

Source: Mortgage Introducer

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