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Why the ‘mood music’ surrounding the housing market outside London has changed

An influx of new residents into Manchester, Birmingham, Leeds, Bristol, Edinburgh and Glasgow helped the housing market remain resilient during 2023, according to a new report.

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New research from global property advisor JLL shows there was a surge in demand from renters and buyers for prime residential properties across the UK’s ‘big six’ despite high inflation and interest rates.

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The report, which tracks residential development activity, prices and rents across the six areas, highlighted a desire from city centre residents to live in ‘vibrant, highly-amenitised and well-connected central locations’.

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City A.M.

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Calls grow louder for urgent stamp duty cut to boost property market

Propertymark is the latest trade body to call on the Bank of England to cut interest rates to boost demand for property.

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It sees lower rates as key to increasing affordability levels and consumer confidence, particularly among first-time buyers, as well as ease the financial strains on homeowners in general.

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The news comes as property website Zoopla found that people who are buying their first home are paying an average of £244,100 – this is £20,300 below the local market average.

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Source: Property Industry Eye

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Buy-to-Let Watch: Grab 2024 with both hands

Last year’s mortgage market volatility was unprecedented, to say the least.

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We saw ongoing interest-rate rises, consecutive base-rate increases, and a huge (and often contentious) public discussion about what could be the most extensive legislation changes the sector had ever seen, by way of the Renters (Reform) Bill.

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Speaking with industry peers and my landlord clients, it’s fair to say we’re all happy to put 2023 behind us. And, what’s more, this upcoming year shows a much brighter outlook for the property market.

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Mortgage Strategy

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House prices fall by -1.4% in December – ONS

Average house price annual inflation was negative 1.4% in the 12 months to December 2023, compared with negative 2.3% (revised estimate) in the 12 months to November 2023, according to the latest data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

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The average UK house price was recorded at £285,000, which is £4,000 lower than 12 months ago.

Average house prices in the 12 months to December 2023 decreased in England to £302,000 (negative 2.1%), decreased in Wales to £214,000 (negative 2.5%) and increased in Scotland to £190,000 (3.3%).

The average house price increased in the year to Q4 (October to December) 2023 to £178,000 in Northern Ireland (1.4%).

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On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average UK house prices increased by 0.1% between November 2023 and December 2023, compared with a decrease of 0.8% during the same period 12 months ago.

Of English regions, annual house price inflation was highest in the North West, where prices increased by 1.2%.

London was the English region with the lowest annual inflation, where prices decreased by 4.8% in the 12 months to December 2023.

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Source: The Intermediary

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UK house prices rise at fastest rate since January 2023

UK house prices rose 2.5% in the year to January, recording the biggest increase since January last year, as lower mortgage rates and fading inflationary pressures led to increased buyer and seller confidence, Halifax has said.

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January marked the fourth consecutive monthly rise, with a 1.3% uplift on December, the UK’s biggest mortgage lender said, with the average home costing £291,000, £3,900 more than in December.

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Kim Kinnaird, the director at Halifax Mortgages, said: “The recent reduction of mortgage rates from lenders as competition picks up, alongside fading inflationary pressures and a still-resilient labour market has contributed to increased confidence among buyers and sellers.

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Source: The Guardian

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Rental Market Crisis As Demand Continues To Outweigh Supply

Letting agents have highlighted a persistent high demand for rental properties, coupled with a significant decline in available supply. This imbalance is primarily attributed to the dwindling number of new landlords entering the market, exacerbated by existing tenants choosing to stay put to circumvent the hike in rental prices.

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A recent survey conducted by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) among its members has unveiled a noticeable uptick in tenant demand throughout the three months leading to January. Despite this, there’s a sense of the market cooling off, possibly mitigating the ongoing reduction in new landlord listings.

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To view full article please click the link below.

Source: Landlord Knowledge

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Should You Track the Market or Lock it In? Unveiling the 2024 Tracker Mortgage Advantage in the UK

The year is 2024 and for UK homeowners, navigating the mortgage landscape can feel like a tightrope walk. Interest rates are fluctuating, fixed-rate deals remain competitive, but a potential glimmer of hope shines through: tracker mortgages.

For the uninitiated, tracker mortgages mirror the Bank of England’s base rate, meaning your interest rate adjusts accordingly. So, the question arises: are tracker mortgages a viable option in 2024, and can they truly surpass the stability of fixed rates? Let’s delve into the key benefits and considerations to help you decide.

Unlocking the Potential Benefits of Tracker Mortgages in 2024:

Potential for Lower Rates

While current fixed-rate deals are enticing, they reflect a cautious market anticipating future rate rises. Tracker mortgages, however, track the base rate, which could fall in 2024. This translates to potentially lower monthly payments and significant cost savings over the mortgage term.

Flexibility and Freedom

Unlike fixed-rate counterparts, tracker mortgages often come with no Early Repayment Charges (ERCs). This translates to greater flexibility. You can overpay without penalty, capitalizing on lower rates and potentially shortening your mortgage term. Moreover, some trackers offer the option to switch to a fixed rate penalty-free if the market shifts, providing an added layer of security.

Transparent and Predictable (to an extent)

While future rate changes are never guaranteed, the base rate serves as a clear reference point, making monthly payment fluctuations more predictable compared to fixed rates, which are subject to market uncertainties.

Understanding the Differences and Benefits of Fixed and Variable Mortgages

Riding the Economic Wave

If economic forecasts hold true and the base rate starts falling, tracker mortgages allow you to capitalise on these reductions immediately. Fixed-rate borrowers, on the other hand, remain locked into their initial rate, potentially missing out on these savings.

However, the tracker mortgage journey isn’t without its caveats:

1. Interest Rate Risks: As the base rate rises, so do your monthly payments. This increased financial vulnerability can be stressful, especially for those on tight budgets.

2. Market Volatility: While trackers offer potential savings, they do expose you to fluctuations in the base rate. This can be unsettling for homeowners seeking guaranteed stability.

3. Limited Availability: Tracker mortgages are not as widely available as fixed-rate deals, and lenders often impose stricter eligibility criteria.

UK house prices to rise by 3% in 2024

So, is a tracker mortgage right for you in 2024?

Ultimately, the decision depends on your individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and economic outlook. If you’re comfortable with some flexibility and potentially lower rates, and you believe the base rate might fall, a tracker mortgage could be an attractive option. However, if you prioritise stability and predictable monthly payments, a fixed-rate deal might be more suitable.

Remember, carefully assess your financial circumstances, thoroughly research the market, and consult a qualified mortgage advisor before making any decisions.

As a Commercial Finance Broker work with ALL UK Mortgage Lenders offering all options for tracker, fixed and variable mortgage deals and have highly experienced CeMAP Mortgage Advisors to discuss your needs, so Contact Us today for totally FREE quote and no-obligation advice.

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A third of UK buy-to-let landlords plan to expand portfolios in 2024

Investors are spotting opportunities in the current market as more buy-to-let landlords make plans to snap up further properties in the year ahead.

Market sentiment in the buy-to-let sector has been impacted by a number of factors in recent years, from tax changes to the more recent issue of rising mortgage rates. House prices across much of the country have also slowed their pace of growth – which comes as no surprise after the rapid acceleration of 2020-2022.

However, as is often the case in the UK property market, investors continue to find the most promising assets, in terms of both location and property type, to keep activity strong in the sector. While 2023 was a year of uncertainty, investors are finding more to be positive about for 2024.

Inflation has fallen rapidly from its high point last year, despite the most recent announcement that revealed an small, unexpected rise. Interest rates have also been frozen for some time now, yet lenders have been reducing their rates and unveiling a wider array of products and incentives, including for buy-to-let landlords.

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Along with more positive house price news over the past couple of months, these factors have all combined to influence plans for landlords in the coming 12 months, and the latest research from Together Money has found that more than a third – 34% – of buy-to-let landlords will expand their portfolios this year.

More optimism for landlords

The survey by Together also found that 68% of landlords currently feel optimistic about their business outlook for 2024, despite 10% of respondents saying they they have “reservations”. A quarter of those surveyed also said they were planning to refinance their properties to “support business objectives” this year.

Since the start of 2024, some of the UK’s major banks and building societies have brought fresh, cheaper deals to the table since the start of 2024, including Co-operative Bank, First Direct, HSBC, NatWest, Halifax, Clydesdale Bank and Leeds Building Society, with a number of these lenders also offering buy-to-let mortgage deals.

There is now a growing number of sub-4% mortgage products available for landlords, which is a vast improvement on the peaks of almost 7% last summer. Borrowers are still urged to thoroughly check the details of each product though, as deals with the lowest rate aren’t always the best value for money for every customer.

Of course, some landlords with less borrowing power or those who are simply ready to cash in on their property assets are leaving the market at the moment, but this is also presenting opportunities for portfolio landlords to take on existing buy-to-let properties.

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Should you use a specialist lender?

The research from Together found that 42% of its landlord respondents said they would prioritise using a specialist lender rather than a mainstream one over the next 12 months (although this was specifically related to taking out additional financing for commercial property).

The reasons given were that specialist lenders are often prepared to take on greater risk and offer larger loans, while supporting entrepreneurial plans; an answer which was selected by 39% of respondents. 29% said they’d opt for a specialist lender because they are quicker, while 29% also said they provide the best service.

Where the purchase isn’t straightforward, such as when investing in a house in multiple occupation (HMO), or investing via a limited company, the vast majority of people will need to use a specialist lender. However, for a standard buy-to-let purchase, it is worth including mainstream lenders in your mortgage search.

According to MFS: “Specialist lenders deliver greater flexibility and speed than high street comparatives. Unlike high-street banks, they underwrite their loans manually. This allows them to approach each application on a case-by-case basis.”

The sector is reacclimatising

Chris Baguley, Group Channel Development Director at Together, said: “The short, sharp shock in interest rates since the Covid years triggered some cautiousness in the commercial market while investors were trying to predict where the peak would be. With rates settling, while there is still an overall flattening; activity is returning as the sector reacclimatises to the new environment.

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Understanding the Differences and Benefits of Fixed and Variable Mortgages 

When it comes to obtaining a mortgage, one of the most crucial decisions borrowers face is choosing between a fixed or variable interest rate. Both options have their own unique advantages and disadvantages, making it essential for homebuyers to understand the differences between the two. In this blog post, we will explore the features, benefits, and considerations associated with fixed and variable mortgage rates, helping you make an informed decision that suits your financial goals.

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Fixed Mortgage Rates

Fixed mortgage rates refer to a type of mortgage where the interest rate remains constant throughout the loan term. Here are some key benefits of fixed mortgage rates:

a) Stability and Predictability: The primary advantage of a fixed mortgage rate is that it provides stability and predictability. Borrowers can accurately budget their monthly payments since the interest rate remains unchanged. This feature is particularly beneficial for those who prefer a consistent payment plan and want to avoid any surprises.

b) Protection against Rate Fluctuations: Another advantage of fixed mortgage rates is that they shield borrowers from interest rate fluctuations. Regardless of market conditions, the interest rate on a fixed mortgage remains the same, providing a sense of security.

c) Long-Term Planning: Fixed mortgage rates are ideal for long-term planning. Homeowners who plan to stay in their property for an extended period benefit from knowing their mortgage payments will remain unchanged, allowing for better financial planning.

However, it is important to consider potential drawbacks as well. For example, fixed mortgage rates typically come with slightly higher initial interest rates compared to variable rates. Additionally, breaking a fixed-rate mortgage contract before the term ends may result in penalties.

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Variable Mortgage Rates

Variable mortgage rates, also known as Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs), are loans with interest rates that fluctuate over time based on market conditions. Here are some benefits of variable mortgage rates:

a) Lower Initial Rates: Variable mortgage rates tend to have lower initial interest rates compared to fixed rates. This feature can be advantageous for borrowers who want to take advantage of lower rates in the early stages of their mortgage.

b) Flexibility: Variable mortgage rates offer flexibility, allowing borrowers to take advantage of potential rate decreases in the future. This option is particularly suitable for those who plan to sell their property or refinance their mortgage before the rate adjustment period begins.

c) Potential Cost Savings: If interest rates decrease over time, borrowers with variable mortgage rates can enjoy significant cost savings in the long run. This can result in lower monthly mortgage payments, allowing homeowners to allocate funds towards other financial goals.

However, it is essential to consider the potential risks associated with variable mortgage rates. As interest rates fluctuate, borrowers need to be prepared for increased monthly payments if rates rise. This uncertainty may not suit individuals who prefer a stable and predictable budget.

Conclusion

Choosing between fixed and variable mortgage rates is a significant decision that can impact your financial future. Fixed rates offer stability and protection against market fluctuations, while variable rates provide flexibility and potential cost savings. Consider your financial goals, risk tolerance, and the current market conditions before making a decision. Consulting with a UK Mortgage Broker can provide valuable guidance tailored to your unique circumstances. Remember, the right choice depends on your individual preferences and long-term financial strategy.

To find out more and speaking directly with a CeMAP qualified Mortgage Advisor, contact us today via either 03303 112 646 or fill in our simple contact form.

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UK house market sees ‘respite’ as mortgage rates ease

The UK’s beleaguered housing market enjoyed some “respite” as buyer activity picked up amid easing mortgage rates, according to an influential property professionals survey found.

Housing professionals said there had been a gradual improvement in market sentiment, influenced by the recent easing of mortgage interest rates, according to the December 2023 report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics).

Newly agreed sales figures also suggest a less negative market and short-term sales expectations have also risen with the year ahead and expectations are the most positive they have been since January 2022. The average time to complete a sale is also decreasing, now averaging 18 weeks, down from 20 weeks in September.

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Prices have continued to fall but the rate of decline slowed, Rics said. It forecast prices will continue to creep downwards, before stabilising by the end of the year. Professionals predicted a solid recovery in home sales volumes emerging in 2024.

New data from the Office for National Statistics published this week showed prices were down by 2.1 per cent on the year, which is the biggest drop since June 2011.

The latest feedback on house price expectations remains varied across the UK. House prices in Scotland are expected to rise in first three months of this year – the first-time that Scottish respondents’ three-month expectations for prices have moved into positive since May 2022.

This coincides with an overall improvement in sentiment within the Scottish residential market, according to respondents, which appears to be linked to the trend towards lowered mortgage rates.

Read about the UK Housing Market via our Specialist Residential & Buy to Let Division

Together with Northern Ireland and north-west England, Scotland is one of the only areas of the UK where respondents expect prices to move higher over the course of 2024.

Tenants are likely to face rises of over 4 per cent over the next year as supply of rented accomodation continues to be constricted. The Rics professionals believe rental growth will average 5 per cent a year over the next five years.

Tarrant Parsons, Rics senior economist, said: “With 2023 proving to be a particularly challenging year for the UK housing market, it appears recent weeks have seen a little bit of respite emerge.

“Supported by an easing in mortgage interest rates of late, buyer demand has now stabilised, and this is expected to translate into a slight recovery in residential sales volumes over the coming months.

By David Connett

Source: i News